Every year since the mid-2010s has been big for EVs. New models, longer ranges, and lower prices have continuously increased the momentum for electric vehicles, and 2021 will follow suit. In the US, few smaller-sized hatchback and sedan models are expected next year. However, many trucks and crossovers will be released in 2021 and we will start to see the broader EV market take on a more defined shape. While I think it may be premature to call 2021 the “Year of Electric Trucks,” due to the limited production, there will finally be electric pickups available, which is huge. Below are descriptions of some of the most exciting electric vehicles coming in 2021 that you should be aware about.
Rivian R1T (Launch Edition)
While Rivian’s R1T will come out first, production is expected to be around 20,000 units in 2021 and 40,000 units in 2022. This is not unusual for a luxury vehicle entering the market and follows a similar growth trajectory as Tesla’s Model S and X in their early days. What is unexpected is that these production numbers have been publicly released. Shout out to RJ Scaringe, Founder and CEO of Rivian, for being transparent and providing us with this juicy information
Lordstown’s Endurance is going to show fleet managers that going electric is profitable and employees will love them. I’m personally excited to see hub motors take a prime position in this vehicle and offer a slightly different propulsion system than what has ever been seen before. With the lower price, I can imagine this vehicle would be quite the hot commodity for the average EV-loving, truck-shopping consumer out there. However, Lordstown is letting fleets have first dibs and no one knows when average consumers will have access to these vehicles.
GMC Hummer EV
GMC’s Hummer EV may make waves, but with no demo units out, all eyes are on GM to pull through on its incredibly optimistic timeline. For more information on the possible trim levels, check out GMC’s reservation site here. I’m not sure how well the Hummer EV will do with a price point so far above the other trucks featured in this article and with the base model not estimated to be released for years after the Edition 1 release. It will be interesting to see how the Hummer EV competes with the R1T and the Cybertruck despite the price difference.
Tesla Cybertruck (Tri-Motor/Dual-Motor)
Tesla’s Cybertruck will likely make a splash at the very end of 2021. Although, production may come sooner than expected due to rapid construction at the Austin, Texas, factory. Tesla will have to move quickly but has shown this capability in the past. The Tri-motor, $69,990 Cybertruck will come along first, with the Dual-motor, $49,990 version coming in late 2021, and the Single-motor $39,990 version not expected till late 2022. I expect the Cybertruck to ramp up production relatively quickly, and likely avoid some of the “production hell” that assailed the Model 3. However, no one knows yet how the factory will prioritize Model Y, Model 3, Tesla Semi, and Cybertruck production rates between the end of 2021 and 2022, so things will be rather unpredictable until Tesla clarifies its production timelines at the Austin factory.
Ford Mustang Mach-E
Ford’s Mustang Mach-E (already out but undergoing a significant production ramp-up in 2021) puts Ford in the race for EV dominance, and if you’re not happy about that, you’re probably mad about the Mustang name being used. With a solid range that starts at 210 miles (AWD + standard battery pack), a standard and long-range battery pack option, and RWD and AWD options, this car has the customization the US EV market has long desired.
When compared to the Model Y and Model 3, the Mach-E does not provide enough range for the price (base model starts at $42,895) without the federal tax credit, and I predict that as Ford gets more comfortable with battery technology, as battery tech gets cheaper, and as competition tightens, Ford will increase the range and lower the price, possibly quite significantly if Ford loses the federal tax credit in the next year or so. Without the federal tax credit, the Mach-E’s market niche gets eaten into by many other vehicles, specifically the Hyundai 5, Tesla Model Y and Model 3, Volkswagen ID.4, and Nissan Ariya, to name a few.
Volkswagen’s big course correction started after the dieselgate scandal a couple years back, and while Europe has seen the ID.3 for the past few months of 2020, the US has been waiting and waiting for its first ID model. The wait is only a little longer! In 2021, the Volkswagen ID.4 will be available. The 1st edition has already sold out and will be delivered in Q1 of 2021. The ID.4 Pro is open for reservations with delivery is expected in “mid 2021,” starting at $39,995 before the federal tax credit.